Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.906057 2.183538 2.478287 2.813733 3.183928 3.579011 4.031541
2025-02-02 1.431842 1.822883 2.271995 2.821296 3.470119 4.207160 5.102517
2025-02-09 1.095437 1.538927 2.085883 2.798550 3.690260 4.756453 6.113850
2025-02-16 0.845271 1.303960 1.908405 2.742075 3.838893 5.208551 7.021329
2025-02-23 0.690042 1.159408 1.815679 2.766613 4.071899 5.761363 8.068758
2025-03-02 0.554416 1.014133 1.695166 2.729270 4.205569 6.179566 8.952200
2025-03-09 0.466437 0.922479 1.634213 2.760316 4.423166 6.708544 9.994306
2025-03-16 0.386586 0.827711 1.552932 2.747297 4.568767 7.137660 10.911883
2025-03-23 0.345986 0.792152 1.558041 2.861133 4.900264 7.835226 12.220590
2025-03-30 0.307116 0.752014 1.548959 2.948279 5.192377 8.484785 13.482177
2025-04-06 0.255668 0.677117 1.469880 2.912041 5.288515 8.848895 14.345818
2025-04-13 0.223512 0.634795 1.442248 2.956443 5.509512 9.401888 15.496615
2025-04-20 0.192731 0.590490 1.407837 2.990082 5.721741 9.961289 16.694868
2025-04-27 0.167241 0.552854 1.381615 3.035931 5.957019 10.567274 17.987688
2025-05-04 0.140430 0.505298 1.328935 3.028013 6.100369 11.035217 19.088469
2025-05-11 0.114342 0.452108 1.256396 2.974726 6.160409 11.371287 19.996602
2025-05-18 0.098282 0.421978 1.228773 3.003816 6.363168 11.940501 21.279344
2025-05-25 0.080551 0.381021 1.170290 2.965207 6.440914 12.306751 22.253123
2025-06-01 0.069543 0.357717 1.149073 2.998876 6.648755 12.891005 23.583638
2025-06-08 0.057912 0.327952 1.107366 2.985205 6.766800 13.327676 24.688930
2025-06-15 0.053513 0.323391 1.128473 3.106796 7.143557 14.211712 26.536459
2025-06-22 0.048406 0.314303 1.136432 3.199803 7.469414 15.018083 28.276887
2025-06-29 0.039522 0.285612 1.087269 3.161169 7.538549 15.384064 29.305481